Saturday, 20 October, 2018

Tropical Development Likely in the Gulf by Monday

Source NOAA Source NOAA
Theresa Hayes | 07 October, 2018, 00:52

"Nate also did $225 million in damage in the U.S. The name Nate was retired after the 2017 season because of its impact on Central America, where 46 people died".

As great as this weekend will be, all eyes are in the Caribbean Sea as a group of storms lifts into the Gulf of Mexico, where confidence is growing that we will see our next tropical system. As of Saturday morning, the probabilities of cyclone formation were at 80 percent through Monday morning, and 90 percent over the next five days. Once it makes the transition in a tropical depression, or even a tropical storm, it will move north into the Gulf of Mexico. Highs should stay in the low 90s both days with a partly cloudy sky and not much in the way of a rain chance.

Satellite data, surface observations, and radar data from Belize indicate that an area of low pressure is centered over the northwestern Caribbean Sea east of northern Belize. Meanwhile, a storm near the Yucatan Peninsula is worth watching for the Gulf Coast.

It's moving slowly - about 5 miles per hour - and is expected to bring "torrential" amounts of rain to parts of Central America, the Yucatan peninsula and western Cuba into next week.

Hurricane Leslie, located in the north-central Atlantic, posed no threat to Cayman.

Hurricane season started June 1 and continues through November 30.