Saturday, 17 November, 2018

Category 3 Hurricane Bud heads north off Mexico

NHC  GETTY    
   CATEGORY 3 Hurricane Bud is expected to rip through the western coasts of Mexico NHC GETTY CATEGORY 3 Hurricane Bud is expected to rip through the western coasts of Mexico
Theresa Hayes | 12 June, 2018, 09:26

While Bud was initially expected to make landfall in Mexico as a Category 3 hurricane, new forecasts on Monday afternoon began predicting that Bud will hit Baja California or Cabo San Lucas as a weak tropical storm with winds reaching only about 40 miles per hour.

The NHC said, with maximum sustained winds of 120 miles per hour, Bud is now moving northwest at about seven miles per hour.

"Some additional strengthening is possible today, but a slow weakening trend is expected to begin on Tuesday", the NHC said.

"Significantly cooler waters around the southern tip of Baja California should reduce Bud's intensity below hurricane status before it reaches that land", the centre said. The storm peaked on Friday as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 140 miles per hour.

A tropical storm watch is in effect from Manzanillo to Cabo Correintes.

Hurricane Bud's probable path off Mexico's Pacific coast is displayed in this graphic from the National Weather Service.

Some 3 to 6 inches of rain accumulations are expected in much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches, the NHC said in the advisory.

Torrential downpours could cause "life-threatening" flash floods, mudslides and waves along coastal areas in Mexico, the NHC said.

A disorganized area of weather over the Caribbean Sea has a 20 percent chance of tropical development in the next five days as it moves northwestward toward the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Aletta weakened into remnant low-pressure system in the Pacific, far from the Mexican coast.